As an ex-Labour voter I'm going to tell you why I think Labour will lose the next General Election. First of all we should discuss why people like me voted Labour in the last three elections. Why did I vote Labour? I'm afraid that I was greedy. Knowing that the country's finances were in good shape (thanks to the previous Tory government) I liked the idea of Labour's promise to throw tons of money at our public services, I liked the idea of a minimum wage and I liked the sound of their promises to help out the less well off. That was 1997.
By 2001 I was a little disillusioned with my decision to vote Labour at the previous Election. This was mainly because I felt that whilst they had indeed thrown money at our public services, they were not doing a good enough job at getting value for money. However, I thought to myself that that competence would come with another turn in government, so I gave them my vote. I was wrong.
In 2005 I was regretting voting Labour in 2001, but like a good working class boy from Barnsley, I decided to give them one more chance. I soon realised that I had been a complete idiot. I'm sure that a great many of those people who voted labour in 2005 were also giving them "one last chance". Labour never did learn how to manage the money they were throwing around like confetti. Not only that, but since Gordon Brown took over there has been a growing incompetence across all parts of the government. You can add to that the dithering, sleaze, spin and outright lies about the state of our economic future. Now only the most ardent lefties are willing to give Labour yet another chance.
The problems for Labour cannot be fixed between now and the General Election. Many have already given them their last chance. But most importantly, Labour can no longer buy our votes with promises of massive public spending. Gordon Brown tried to keep that lie alive with his "Labour investment vs Tory cuts", but he was the only one who believed such rubbish. The pot is empty. In fact if it gets much worse, we may have to borrow money to repair the cracks appearing in the pot. So the people are looking for a government to get us out of the mess we are in - Labour have proved themselves to be financially incompetent - and they have no more expensive bribes to buy our votes.
The Conservatives got the country out of the mess left by the Labour government of the 1970's, and the country will hope they can do so again. I'll be voting Tory come the Election - how about you?