We are, by all accounts (including some Labour MPs) going to see some truly disastrous European election results for Labour tonight. I've outlined HERE how they are going to be able to use the UKIP protest vote to wriggle out of blaming themselves and Brown for their poor performance. The line being used (already) is that they are taking more than their fair share of the blame for the expenses scandal.
This is of course a massive deception. The polls have shown that Labour are just as far behind the Conservatives now, as they were before the expenses scandal broke. The truth is that the Conservatives have fared slightly better because of Cameron's swift and decisive action (when compared to Brown's usual dithering). The gap between Labour and the Conservatives in the Local elections last Friday mirrors what the polls have been saying for months.
What could make Labour's result even worse for them in the European elections tonight is their position on Europe - it has bugger all to do with expenses. Labour (Brown) refused to give us the referendum they promised in their manifesto and the people quite rightly are not going to vote for them. The only silver lining for Brown is that UKIP are likely to pull in some of the Tory vote.
We will be told that "it's the expenses stupid" tonight. But Brown and the rest of Labour are the stupid ones if they think the people will fall for such an incredible lie.
UPDATE: @1812: Labour MEP on BBC saying that "it's the expenses stupid". Get ready for this to be repeated all night.